Zhang Youxia, Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission of the Communist Party of China, remarked that Xi&9;s faction has been entirely apprehended. (Video screenshot)
[People News] Recently, two significant revelations have emerged in the international political landscape and online intelligence circles. One comes from Morimoto Toshimi, a prominent figure in Japan's defence community and former Defence Minister, who disclosed a dangerous war that was nearly ignited in 2024 but was averted by military leader Zhang Youxia. The other revelation originates from a businessman in Fujian who is on the front lines, revealing the party leader's 'three-layer conspiracy' regarding Taiwan and offering a final piece of advice to the highest authorities. What kind of national crisis is looming in 2027?
The Vanishing War Order of 2024?
On March 9, former Japanese Defence Minister Morimoto Toshimi discussed a shocking document during an exclusive interview with the Taipei Times. At 85 years old, Morimoto is Japan's first defence minister with a background in the Self-Defence Forces and a leading expert on China's military and the Taiwan Strait situation.
Morimoto disclosed that, based on the intelligence he has gathered and internal documents circulating online, the leader of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) initially planned to launch a military offensive against Taiwan following the CCP's Third Plenary Session in 2024. The authenticity of this document has been assessed to be as high as 80%. This revelation has surprised the global intelligence community, as it suggests that the CCP leader's intentions to use force are much earlier than the 2027 timeline predicted by U.S. intelligence.
So, why did this war not occur in 2024?
Senmoto Toshiyuki noted that the ultimate termination of this plan was due to strong opposition from Zhang Youxia, who was then the Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission, along with other senior military officials. Zhang Youxia and generals like Liu Zhenli believed that despite the People's Liberation Army investing hundreds of billions of dollars in equipment over the past decade and the navy becoming the largest in the world, the critical bottleneck of large-scale amphibious landings remained unresolved.
As military pragmatists, they recognised that this was not merely a political slogan, but a high-stakes gamble involving lives and fortunes. They feared that with the intervention of the U.S. and Japan, the conflict could escalate into an unmanageable disaster, potentially causing China's economy to regress by decades. This concern was the root cause of the strategic conflict between Zhang Youxia and the party leader.
The Power Vacuum of the Third Plenary Session
Now, let’s rewind to the Third Plenary Session in July 2024. At that time, global media were abuzz with discussions about the two teacups on the party leader's table and his visibly pained expression while drinking water.
Following this, a rumour emerged within Zhongnanhai suggesting that the party leader had suddenly suffered a stroke and fallen into a coma during the meeting. During this brief power vacuum, Zhang Youxia swiftly took action, collaborating with the elders to regain control of the situation and temporarily assumed actual command of the military. This period has been referred to by some analysts as the 'Hua Guofeng Moment,' and names of reformists within the party, such as Wang Yang and Hu Chunhua, were noted to reappear in certain transitional power discussions.
This also clarifies why reports of Zhang Youxia's arrest surfaced in early 2026. Once 'that person' regains power, he will not tolerate any challenges that hinder his war ambitions. Senben Min argues that the downfall of Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli is fundamentally linked to their obstruction of the party leader's orders in 2024.
The Party Leader's 'Three-Layer Conspiracy'
While Senben Min's disclosures provide an external view of military deployments, insights from a Fujian entrepreneur offer an internal perspective on Xi Jinping's political mindset. The information from both Senben Min and this entrepreneur can consolidate rumours from the edges of the core circle into a coherent narrative.
The entrepreneur cautions against underestimating the party leader's ambitions regarding Taiwan. He explains that for the party leader, resolving the Taiwan issue by 2027 is not just a military goal but also serves as the best justification for securing a fourth term and potentially lifelong rule. This ambition is underpinned by three deeply troubling political logics:
First, a historical legacy: The party leader aims to create a so-called historical achievement, with the resolution of the Taiwan issue being his primary justification after amending the constitution and eliminating term limits.
Second, a wartime state of emergency: By instigating a national emergency through war, he seeks to enable indefinite re-election beyond 2027.
Third, a test of obedience reminiscent of 'calling a deer a horse': He intends to use this action as a means to test the obedience of the Communist Party's senior leadership and military generals, thereby consolidating his absolute power.
In this context, the party leader may be prepared to wage war at any cost, unless the price is so steep that it directly jeopardises his personal safety, power, and reputation.
Final Advice to the Senior Leadership of the Communist Party of China
This Fujian businessman, speaking as a fellow native of Fujian, has made a poignant appeal. He noted that the party leader has governed Fujian, Zhejiang, and Shanghai in succession, with Fujian being the place where he began his career, thus considering it his 'second hometown.'
He questioned the seven members of the Standing Committee: Do you truly wish to see your hometown and the place where you built your fortune descend into war?
He urged Premier Li Qiang, who hails from Zhejiang: War will inevitably drag Zhejiang into conflict; please oppose this reckless course of action.
He cautioned Zhao Leji, Chairman of the National People's Congress: While your hometown may not be coastal, when war erupts, and the United States initiates 'precision strikes,' no high-ranking official will be able to safeguard themselves.
He challenged Secretary Cai Qi from Fujian: 'Fujian is our homeland, and this war will first impact Fujian; can you stand by and watch your hometown be destroyed?'
He reminded Wang Huning, a native of Shanghai: A military unification war will also endanger Shanghai.
He specifically called out Ding Xuexiang, a Vice Premier from Jiangsu who has worked in Shanghai, stating, 'War will pose a serious threat to the safety of Suzhou and Shanghai.'
Additionally, there is Li Xi, Secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, who has previously governed Guangdong and worked in Shanghai; these areas are all within the potential threat of war. Furthermore, Vice President Han Zheng, a native of Zhejiang born in Shanghai, also faces the risk of his hometown being affected.
Minister of Public Security Wang Xiaohong, also from Fujian, will see his hometown's safety directly threatened by war. Minister of State Security Chen Yixin, from Zhejiang, will also see Zhejiang in danger. Moreover, when war breaks out, the Communist Party's intelligence agencies will be among the primary targets for the United States and Taiwan.
This Fujian entrepreneur also addressed the Communist generals, stating that their mission is to protect the homeland, not to allow compatriots on both sides of the strait to harm one another, and certainly not to let the people along the southeastern coast be engulfed in war.
He expressed his hope that the soldiers would oppose war, emphasising that a soldier's duty is to protect their fellow citizens, not to serve as cannon fodder, and certainly not to put compatriots from both sides of the strait in jeopardy.
At present, Beijing is ramping up the construction of deep bunkers in the Xishan area. While the party leader and his close associates have shelters, do the 40 million residents of Fujian have any? Once war breaks out, Fujian's infrastructure will be among the first targets to be destroyed.
He disclosed that the business elite along the southeastern coast is currently in a state of extreme panic, with asset transfers and a large-scale wave of immigration already in motion, while ordinary citizens remain unaware, still cheering along with the brainwashing propaganda.
Trump needs to be aware of Beijing's trap.
Furthermore, this Fujian entrepreneur highlighted a crucial variable: President Trump.
He cautioned Trump that the party leader is someone who is "extremely adept at patience and political deception." Beijing intends to offer an "unprecedented great gift" during Trump's visit to China, which could involve purchasing a significant amount of agricultural products or energy, or even making false concessions on certain international issues. However, this great gift conceals a trap. Beijing's objective is to paralyse the United States, leading it to believe that "as long as money is provided, there will be no war."
He argues that the most effective way to confront Beijing is not through economic sanctions, but through a clear warning: should they dare to initiate a war, the United States will carry out 'physical elimination' of senior officials in the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and expose their families' corrupt assets abroad. In essence, only by directly threatening the personal safety of the leaders can this reckless adventure be genuinely curtailed, thereby saving both China and the United States from the spectre of nuclear war and preventing compatriots on both sides of the Taiwan Strait from suffering dire consequences.
The madness and self-preservation of the Red Guard generation
Why are decisions made in Beijing so unpredictable? Some analysts suggest that this is largely due to the current leadership, most of whom were raised during the Cultural Revolution and possess a strong 'movement struggle' mentality. This mindset leaves no room for retreat; if they perceive their power as being threatened, they may resort to the extreme logic of 'mutual destruction,' viewing external conflicts as tools to sustain their domestic rule.
In such a volatile environment, there is a pressing need for rational voices within the Chinese system. True strength does not derive from subjugating one's compatriots through force, but from respecting public opinion and faith. Relying solely on oppression and internal conflict will ultimately drive society to the brink of civil war or disaster.
A businessman from Fujian has suggested an alternative path: 'Freedom of speech and the judicious use of talent are the best strategies for achieving great accomplishments.' He contends that the loss of free speech equates to the destruction of the wisdom of 1.4 billion people, representing the gravest betrayal of the nation and its citizens. Rulers should recognise that 'a family that accumulates good deeds will enjoy good fortune; a family that accumulates bad deeds will face misfortune.' Only by practising benevolent governance can they earn genuine support.
He candidly remarked that those who advocate for a reckless war lack compassion and disregard the lives of their fellow citizens; ultimately, they will bring harm to the party leader. Conversely, those who dare to oppose are the true loyalists.
The years 2027 and 2028 represent critical danger zones.
According to two leaked reports, the future landscape remains exceedingly precarious.
While the escalation in 2024 was thwarted, it may merely be the calm before a larger storm. With the opposition within the military eliminated, the party leader may find it easier to take decisive action. Morimoto Satoshi forecasts that the presidential election in Taiwan in January 2028 will mark another pivotal turning point.
For compatriots on both sides of the Taiwan Strait and the international community, it is essential to not only assess the military balance but also to grasp the political logic of the Red Guards, characterised by a 'no cost too great, no retreat allowed' mentality.
The People's Liberation Army is being tasked with achieving war readiness by 2027. Although the military command structure has been compromised due to a major purge and will take one to two years to rebuild, this period of reorganisation is also when power struggles are most intense and risks are highest. A regime rife with suspicion and poised to gamble is indeed taking a significant risk with its military.
In 2024, we may have narrowly avoided the outbreak of war. However, the ominous clouds of 2027 may be gathering more swiftly.
Whether it is Morimoto Satoshi's warning from an international strategic viewpoint or the counsel from a Fujian entrepreneur focused on the interests of compatriots, both highlight the same reality: this war is not a viable option for the destiny of the Chinese nation. Initiating war will only jeopardise decades of peaceful development in China and lead to a catastrophic national disaster.
Leaders should engage more with the classics. A narrow-minded approach that only welcomes flattery will ultimately lead to the destruction of the nation and personal downfall. The ancient adage, 'Those who are virtuous receive more assistance, while those who lack virtue receive little,' remains relevant today. It is only through peace and rationality that we can navigate our way out of this crisis.
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