Russia’s Christmas Day Strikes, Backed by Beijing: Will the War End in 2026

A Ukrainian soldier walks through the heavily damaged city of Bakhmut, which became one of the fiercest battlefields in the nearly year-long war between Ukraine and Russia as of January 13, 2023. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)

[People News] On December 25, while many people in Europe and the United States were enjoying the peace, harmony, and joy of Christmas, the war between Russia and Ukraine continued unabated. Bloomberg reported that Ukraine's long-range drones successfully struck a gas processing plant located approximately 1,700 kilometres east of Kyiv, although this information could not be independently verified. Evgeniy Solntsev, the governor of Orenburg Oblast, stated on Telegram that the drone attempted to attack an industrial facility in the region, causing minor damage, but he did not specify which facility was targeted.

In recent days, Russian forces have repeatedly attacked Odesa, Ukraine's third-largest city. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba remarked on social media platform X on Thursday: "Russia is deliberately destroying energy and civilian infrastructure, leaving people without electricity, water, and heating in the harsh winter."

The Russia-Ukraine conflict will mark its four-year anniversary in February next year. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky recently indicated that Russia is likely to continue turning 2026 into a year of war. He also noted that Kyiv and Washington still have disagreements regarding territorial issues and the management of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant.

Zelensky not only believes that Russia aims to make 2026 a year of war, but he has also received intelligence suggesting that Russia may be utilising satellite imagery provided by the Chinese Communist Party to target energy facilities within Ukraine.

According to a report from the Ukrainian news agency RBC-Ukrainex, President Volodymyr Zelensky reached this conclusion after receiving a briefing from Oleh Ivashchenko, the head of the Ukrainian Foreign Intelligence Service (SZRU).

On December 24, Zelensky also took to social media to express: "We have observed that the ties between Russia and certain Chinese (Communist China) entities are increasingly deepening, and these entities may be supplying space intelligence information. Regrettably, the satellite images from China (Communist China) concerning Ukrainian territory are linked to Russia's attacks on relevant energy infrastructure." Zelensky mentioned that he intends to raise these concerns with allies. However, he did not specify whether he is aware of the Communist Party's knowledge regarding the involvement of companies from Communist China in providing space data.

The Ukrainian news agency further reported that Andriy Kovalenko, the director of the Centre for Countering Disinformation under the National Security and Defence Council of Ukraine, remarked that China (the Communist Party) "could potentially benefit from the ongoing war," as "this would weaken Russia and create dependency on Beijing, while also draining Europe's resources."

On December 9, Zelensky remarked that amid the current global geopolitical tensions, China (the Communist Party) is unwilling to assist in facilitating a ceasefire, as a weakened and defeated Russia on the battlefield does not serve China's (the Communist Party's) interests. Ukrainian intelligence indicates that China has indeed exported at least computer numerical control (CNC) machine tools to Russia.

This recalls an earlier statement by Wang Yi, a member of the Political Bureau and Foreign Minister of the Communist Party, who was in Europe to prepare for the 50th anniversary summit of diplomatic relations between China and Central Europe. He told the EU's High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Josep Borrell, that Beijing does not wish to see Russia defeated in Ukraine, "because they do not want the United States to subsequently shift all its focus to Beijing (the Communist Party)."

Following Wang Yi's comments, a reporter from Spain's El País pressed the issue at a subsequent press conference held by the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, asking: "Reports suggest that 'China does not want to see Russia lose in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, fearing that the U.S. will turn its attention to China.' What is the spokesperson's response to this?" Spokesperson Mao Ning replied, "China is not a party to the Ukraine issue..." Mao Ning's response was somewhat evasive, possibly attempting to defend his superior.

Analysts believe that the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is leveraging the Russia-Ukraine war to distract the United States from focusing on its actions. What are its concerns? Why does it appear to be in a difficult position? The answer is clear: it has committed numerous wrongdoings. The most significant of these is the CCP's destruction of human rights, freedom of belief, and other fundamental universal values, which are the very foundation of the United States. By backing Russia in its conflict with Ukraine, the CCP is aware of its heavy transgressions and fears that global violence and terror will continually occupy American attention. This distraction allows the CCP to not only persist in its persecution of the Chinese people but also to lessen the global resistance it faces in its malevolent actions. If the CCP provides strong support to Russia, it seems likely that the Russia-Ukraine war will continue into 2026. △