Zhongnanhai Faces Five Major Dilemmas as Good Friends and Little Brothers Part Ways!

He is the General Accelerator, known for his ability to reverse. (People News AI-generated image)

[People News] For many years, every time the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) undertakes what it believes to be a significant achievement, it ultimately ends in failure. In recent years, it seems that nearly every action results in decline, failure, or disgrace. From unfinished projects to ineffective policies, from grand strategies to tangible actions, nothing has succeeded—whether it’s the Belt and Road Initiative, the Western Development strategy, the Made in China 2025 plan, the scientific epidemic prevention and three-child policy, or the great power diplomacy characterised by the East rising and the West declining. Not a single initiative has been successful. In March alone, we conducted a preliminary assessment and identified at least five issues that have placed the CCP in a difficult position, exposing it to international ridicule and leaving it speechless, losing face both domestically and internationally. Let’s delve into the lesser-known reasons behind this.

1. Military Aid to Iran

Recently, Wang Yi called the Iranian Foreign Minister, urgently requesting that Iran ensure the safe passage of CCP vessels through the Strait of Hormuz. However, this request was denied by Iran. The specific details of this incident can be found online, and we will refrain from further elaboration.

The issue at hand is that Iran has been vocal in its complaints about the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) for failing to provide timely military support and resources. Financial assistance is no longer effective, as Iran has explicitly rejected it. Support in terms of technical personnel and dual-use materials is also insufficient to address their immediate needs. What Iran truly seeks is prompt military forces and weaponry. However, how can the CCP openly offer such support? Wouldn't that mean directly confronting the West? The CCP has made its position clear in the choice between Iran and the West. Yet, if they withhold support, they risk watching their long-time allies face disaster, jeopardising their long-term strategy in the Middle East, and losing hundreds of millions in investments. How will they maintain control over the Middle East and global terrorist organisations in the future? Everything could be lost in the chaos of war. How will they continue to disrupt Europe and the United States? How will they achieve their ambitions of dominance? They find themselves in a true quandary, caught between conflicting interests.

2. Support for Cuba, Influence in Latin America

On March 13, Cuban President Díaz-Canel announced that the Cuban government had engaged in negotiations with the United States. This indicates that by mid-March, Cuba had already softened its position and even capitulated to the U.S. The catalyst for this shift was the arrest of the Venezuelan presidential couple and the military actions against Iran, which have left Cuba's energy sector in disarray, putting the regime on the brink of collapse.

Previously, Cuba sought assistance from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), which is regarded as a community of shared destiny. However, the CCP, apart from making empty promises, was unwilling to share in Cuba's struggles, prompting Cuba to turn to the United States in desperation. This situation presents a real dilemma for the CCP. Supporting Cuba would mean that they are already not receiving oil from Venezuela and Iran. They could have redirected some resources from Venezuela, but the new government there is pro-American, leaving no surplus available. Additionally, if they were to provide support, Trump had indicated that he would visit Beijing at the end of March; how could they risk offending the United States at such a critical juncture?

Moreover, Trump planned to bring Rubio to Beijing, whose family originates from Cuba. The CCP has imposed sanctions on him twice, which is essentially a contradiction for them, leaving them with grievances they cannot voice. They intended to wait until early April, after Trump's visit, to assess whether they could influence Cuba. However, Trump's schedule unexpectedly shifted to mid-May. Can Cuba withstand such a lengthy wait? It cannot. Perhaps Rubio has already accomplished what he needed to for Cuba.

On the other hand, if they choose not to support Cuba, Beijing observes that American influence in Latin America is becoming dominant; how will they manage to penetrate the region in the future? After Maduro's capture and the restructuring of the Panama Canal's management by the United States, the CCP has faced numerous dilemmas, realising that it cannot ignite a fire in America's backyard and is retreating step by step. Now, what options do they have left?

On March 30, during a routine press conference at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China, a reporter from Anadolu Agency inquired: President Trump stated that after concluding military actions against Iran, Cuba would be the 'next target' and would soon fail. What is China's response to this?

Spokesperson Mao Ning provided an off-topic response, appearing quite uneasy as he stated: China firmly supports Cuba in maintaining its sovereignty and security, and opposes foreign interference. This statement clearly goes beyond mere rhetoric; it indirectly acknowledges that Beijing has found itself in a difficult position regarding Cuba and Latin America. Now, aside from conceding, what other options are available?

3. Escorting the Strait of Hormuz

In late March, Trump explicitly called for the Chinese Communist Party to send warships to escort the Strait of Hormuz. Such an escort would effectively mean joining the U.S. and Israel in their efforts against Iran, which could lead to a quicker downfall of the Iranian regime. On the other hand, if they choose not to escort, the Strait would remain under Iranian control, hindering shipping and impacting their own energy transport, domestic economy, and regime stability. The most alarming aspect is that the U.S. is deploying troops to occupy several small islands in the Strait, which would allow it to seize control over the Strait. If China does not take this opportunity to assert its own claims, it will likely face severe repercussions in the future. What should they do? Caught in a bind, neither option seems favourable, leaving them with no clear solution.

4. North Korea's Abandonment

North Korea may have been alarmed by the military conflict instigated by the US and its allies against Iran. On March 23, the first session of the 15th Supreme People's Assembly was convened in Pyongyang, where the term 'socialism' was removed from the North Korean constitution. This move by Kim Jong-un prompts speculation: Does he recognise the shortcomings of socialism, or is he attempting to win favour with the United States, concerned that after they dispose of 'nuclear weapons developer' Ali Khamenei, they might target him next, especially since he was still advocating for 'nuclear expansion' just last month? For Kim Jong-un, it seems that every bomb that detonates in Tehran resonates as if it were exploding in Pyongyang, with the deafening sounds and chaotic scenes of fireworks creating nightmares that are truly frightening.

Socialism serves as the emblem of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). The CCP has long stressed the importance of developing socialism with Chinese characteristics in this new era (CCP China). However, the international landscape increasingly suggests that socialism is faltering. Kim Jong-un appears to have recognised this reality, prompting him to distance himself from it and sever ties with the CCP. This situation raises the question: how can the CCP endure such sentiments?

For many years, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has served as the socialist big brother to the anti-American bloc, which includes North Korea, Cuba, the Viet Cong, and Iran. Recently, Vietnam has made its position clear by embracing the Starlink low-orbit satellite internet system, explicitly rejecting the CCP's approach to internet censorship. In this context, North Korea, often seen as the CCP's little brother, has unexpectedly criticised the CCP, and the latter finds itself unable to respond. It’s not merely a matter of reluctance; they are in a position where they cannot speak out. If they were to issue strong condemnations, express serious dissatisfaction, or lodge firm protests, it would be seen as interfering in another country's internal affairs. The CCP has consistently emphasised the principle of 'non-interference,' claiming to respect the choices of the North Korean people. They made similar statements during the collapse of the Soviet Union, but the situation has changed. To speak out now would imply an acknowledgement of socialism's shortcomings and an admission that the world is isolating the CCP.

What should be done? Silence is golden; it doesn’t matter if others mock. It doesn’t matter if global communism is crumbling. Turning a blind eye and covering one’s ears is the most righteous and noble course of action.

5. Arrest of Nepal Communist Party Chairman Oli

On March 28, Khadga Prasad Oli, the Chairman of the Nepal Communist Party and former Prime Minister, was arrested by Nepalese police. He faces accusations related to the suppression and massacre of 'Generation Z' protesters last September. On March 29, he was presented in court. The newly appointed Minister of Home Affairs in Nepal remarked, 'No one is above the law; this is not an act of revenge, but the beginning of justice. This country is now set to embark on a new path of development.' This may suggest that the new government intends to hold the previous administration accountable for its actions against the populace.

Oli was once a prominent guest of the Chinese Communist Party. In July 2024, after being re-elected as Prime Minister, he broke with tradition by choosing Beijing as the destination for his first foreign visit instead of the usual India. Oli is a proponent of strengthening ties with Beijing and collaborating on the Belt and Road Initiative. Notably, on September 3, just a day before the government imposed an internet ban, he returned from attending the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in Tianjin and the military parade in Beijing on September 3.

In the late hours of September 8, Oli announced the withdrawal of the social media ban, and the following day, he declared his resignation. He then abandoned his wife and fled to Dubai seeking asylum via a military helicopter. Tragically, his wife was severely injured and later died in a fire set by protesters.

Similar to Khamenei and Oli, the Chinese Communist Party also enforces tyranny against its citizens and has committed massacres, though the scale of the CCP's atrocities is even greater. Following the new government's assumption of power, Nepal's political landscape began to purge the past crimes of the Oli administration. Can the CCP remain untroubled by this? This situation pertains to Nepal's internal affairs.

The most pressing issue is that the new government of Nepal is not compliant with the CCP, indicating a decline in the CCP's influence over South Asia. How can this be interpreted? Expressing opposition will only magnify the CCP's thuggery and disgrace on the global stage. Remaining silent would allow their own influence in South Asia to diminish; how can they accept this? But what options do they have?

Why does the CCP fail at everything it attempts?

The unfinished millennium plan of Xiong'an New Area, the shift of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank from 'countries coming to pay homage' to 'countries coming to mock', and the transition from a decade of 'Made in China cannot lose' to the 'CCP's reckless production that loses at the first attempt'—each action taken by the CCP has brought calamity to the nation and its people. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the CCP claimed to implement scientific epidemic prevention, oscillating between extreme lockdowns and extreme openings. People either starved to death without being able to open their doors, or they were pressured to be 'yang' (positive) and take the lead in being 'yang'. Those who were infected faced penalties in the form of deductions from bonuses and wages if they did not go to work and infect their colleagues... Consequently, out of one billion people, nine hundred million are tested 'yang', resulting in a current scenario where both cities and villages are sparsely populated.

Why does the CCP continue to fail? The answer cannot be solely attributed to the dictatorship of the CCP. Throughout Chinese history and in other countries, there have been dictatorships, but none have been as disastrous as the CCP, which fails to accomplish anything well and creates chaos when it attempts to act. The primary reason is that the CCP's motivations are rooted in maintaining its own power for private interests, disregarding the people's livelihood and the national economy. If we examine each action, we find that the CCP's motivations consistently contradict social laws, economic principles, and the laws of human nature. It resorts to lies and violence, struggles against the natural order, tramples on faith, life, and morality, and shows contempt for culture and justice... In the century since the CCP established its presence in China, it has relentlessly pursued its private interests, willing to destroy everything in its path.

From sowing discord for the Kuomintang behind enemy lines during the Anti-Japanese War, to the Yan'an Rectification Movement, and then through the Three Anti and Five Anti campaigns, the Anti-Rightist Movement, the Cultural Revolution, and the Tiananmen Square protests of 1989, all the way to Jiang Zemin's persecution of Falun Gong, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has developed a pattern and amassed extensive experience in committing malevolent acts. Particularly during Jiang Zemin's tenure, the CCP's malevolence has completely obliterated human conscience, positioning itself as an adversary to truth and justice. When carrying out tasks, as long as they do not meet the needs of the CCP regime, they are willing to destroy everything. Under such values and ideologies, the actions taken are fundamentally against the natural order; can they truly succeed? This is the primary reason.

Additionally, on a personal level, there is another contributing factor. For example, many of the current CCP officials in power are those who rose through the ranks by flattering their superiors ten or twenty years ago. A significant number of them are self-serving individuals. Once they attain power, their focus shifts to how to flatter those above them and oppress those below, seeking to recover the benefits they previously paid in bribes. These officials lack wisdom, talent, and integrity; they merely amplify the malicious policies and actions imposed from above, indifferent to the struggles of the populace or the fate of the nation. They are ruthless towards the people, distort policies for personal gain, neglect good deeds, and engage in egregious wrongs... What can a group of such officials achieve within the CCP system?

The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has never felt as isolated as it does today. Globally, its allies are dwindling, and its sphere of influence is shrinking. At home, the amount of money that corrupt officials can embezzle is decreasing, and the exploitation of the populace has led to a complete erosion of public support. The economy is on the verge of collapse, culture is deteriorating, and social order is in disarray. The CCP senses that there is no retreat left. Within the Party, the number of disloyal and untrustworthy individuals is increasing, and the struggle against both high-ranking officials and low-level corruption seems endless. A sense of impending collapse is rising, bringing chaos and turmoil. The culmination of decline, failure, and disgrace is the collapse of the regime and a change of dynasties.

This is how history is written in China. When the Qing Dynasty fell, the late Qing government faced numerous unfulfilled aspirations, compounded by natural disasters and man-made crises, alongside corruption, public outrage, and international isolation, all occurring at once. The CCP is currently treading this perilous path, and everything, beginning with its relentless persecution of the Chinese people and its oppression of genuine beliefs, is fated to lead to this outcome.

(First published in People News)